NOAA Tropical Storm Delta Track Spaghetti Models
  • 4 yıl önce
NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Monday, October 5, 2020, due to the presence of Tropical Storm Delta (formerly Invest 92L, Potential Tropical Cyclone 26, and Tropical Depression 26) that is forecast to strengthen into a Category 2 hurricane and make landfall on or near Louisiana. Tropical Storm Delta Projected PathTropical Storm Delta is located 255 miles south-southeast of Grand Cayman and is moving to the west at 7 mph (11 km/h). NHC forecasters say that a turn toward the west-northwest is expected later today. A faster northwestward motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the official National Hurricane Center forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to move away from Jamaica later today, move near or over the Cayman Islands early Tuesday, and approach western Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night, and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday. Tropical Storm Delta Computer ModelsTropical Storm Delta Computer Models, Spaghetti ModelsThe GFS American model (purple square), European model (orange triangle), and official NHC track forecast (red circle) are in strong agreement that the tropical cyclone will move in a northwesterly direction across the Caribbean, travel between the western tip of Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula and enter the Gulf of Mexico, then track towards Louisiana. The new official NHC forecast track has been adjusted to the south and west of the previous advisory during the first couple of days, primarily due to the recent center re-formation and more southward initial position. After that time, the NHC track is not much different than the previous forecast and lies near the center of the tightly clustered dynamical model envelope. Tropical Storm Delta Category StrengthTropical Storm Delta NOAA NHC Wind Arrival TimeTropical Storm Delta has maximum sustained winds of 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next few days, and the tropical storm is expected to become a hurricane tonight or on Tuesday before it nears western Cuba. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone. Tropical Storm Delta Watches And WarningsA Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Cuban province of Pinar del Rio. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Cuban province of Artemisa and Isle of Youth. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the Cuban province of La Habana.
Önerilen