Betting on Chiefs AFC Championship at +350: Crazy or Value?
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00:00 And Donnie, it might sound crazy to say, but in a plus 350 number right now, if you bet
00:07 the Chiefs, you're feeling pretty good based on recent trends.
00:12 They have played in the AFC championship games each of the past six years, all six years
00:17 that Patrick Mahomes has been the starting quarterback.
00:20 They have won the AFC title game, cashing that ticket to win an AFC championship game
00:26 four of the previous six NFL seasons.
00:29 So again, kind of crazy to bet a plus 350 price right now and expect it to come to fruition.
00:35 But that has been the story the last six years, at least four of the last six around the NFL.
00:40 Yeah, but when you're taking a look at the Chiefs here, they have Patrick Mahomes.
00:45 So again, I should have just listened to that little, you know, buzzer in my head, pounding
00:49 away at me going like, Hey, Donnie, it doesn't matter what the other team has.
00:52 They don't have Patrick Mahomes.
00:54 So why not just use that throughout the entire landscape of the 2024 season where you see
00:58 a plus 350 price and you're right, Ben, you should be crazy at this point right now to
01:02 bet the Kansas City Chiefs.
01:04 When it's all said and done, you'll be sitting here late December going like it's a foregone
01:08 conclusion that Chiefs will be the number one overall seed or even if they're not anymore,
01:11 it doesn't matter because they have a homes on the win anywhere they go.
01:14 They'll get the other team's worst coaching performance.
01:16 They'll have their best coaching performance.
01:18 We'll get all of the breaks on special teams.
01:21 You'll get none of the breaks if you bet against them and you just take Patrick Mahomes.
01:24 So if you want to keep that theory, I can't argue with you anymore.
01:27 But a plus 350 price and a plus 250 price, get out of town.
01:31 The NFL, there's way too much variance and way too much injuries that can knock you off.
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