• 4 weeks ago
Transcript
00:00What about Buffalo in Miami, where Josh Allen again, all of a sudden too, look again, his
00:12ability to protect the football this year has been amazing.
00:16He threw an interception last week against Seattle though.
00:18Maybe it unravels, maybe not, maybe not.
00:22But you've got a situation where he's thrown for 323 and 283 in the last two games, Josh
00:28Allen starting to open it up a little DRS.
00:29Yes.
00:30And I like him today.
00:31I like his props.
00:32You're taking a look at that one and a half total touchdown passes.
00:34It's cheap.
00:35Sometimes you've got to pay $140, $150 on a decent guy.
00:37He's under $120.
00:38I do think he lights it up.
00:40Interested to see what I'm getting out of the Dolphins here.
00:43Road game, first game back with Tua last week.
00:45You never should lose that game against the Cardinals, but you did, 28-27 final.
00:49So you're looking at the Buffalo Bills offense to me is better than the Arizona Cardinals
00:53offense.
00:54So what should be a realistic number that we're looking at for the Buffalo Bills side
00:56of things?
00:5827 plus points for me?
00:59Absolutely.
01:00So for me, that line is a little bit too high at six to absolutely love that game.
01:05But if you put me on the spot and said, if I think Buffalo's going to win, they're going
01:07to win in cover.
01:08I need to see more out of Tua before I put money on that team.
01:12Yeah, I agree with you.
01:13I'll say this about Miami.
01:15I do not believe their defense can contain Josh Allen or that rushing attacker, James
01:20Cook.
01:21I know they contain James Conner, 20 carries, 52 yards, but they allowed Kyler Murray to
01:26throw for 307 last week.
01:28Trey McBride, what a huge performance, 126 yards.
01:31I expect Dalton Kincaid has a cheap number today, 40 and a half.
01:35I altered him up to 60 and a half.
01:37I think he has a big performance.
01:39They can't cover underneath.
01:41They're just not physical enough, Kev.
01:42You know, the line is a little fishy to me because I did feel like, you know, Buffalo
01:46at home, they hammer Miami consistently coming off a loss.
01:52It is fishy, but I do not see the doubt.
01:54Forget the offense.
01:55I do not see the Dolphins defense containing this offense the way it's coming right now.
02:00It's bills or bust.
02:01I do feel maybe we go lean under because I think they abused them at both sides of the
02:06ball.
02:07Yeah, I think we're seeing the books for the second week in a row.
02:10Price Miami like the Dolphins that entered the season because that is to some degree
02:15what they are right now.
02:16The defense is a little more banged up.
02:18No, I was just going to say, but like, yes, you're right.
02:21They're pricing them, but they never won in Buffalo.
02:23Their best performance in Buffalo is when Skylar Thompson played in the playoff game
02:28and they covered a 12 point number.
02:30But the healthy Dolphins, they're never going to catch nine, 10 in this build.
02:34That's never going to happen.
02:35I know, but they lost by 28 at home last year.
02:38One hundred percent.
02:39Listen, I'm not on the road.
02:40I'm not.
02:41I'm not running about Miami.
02:42Right.
02:43I took a shot on the under in this game.
02:44I think Buffalo has been a slow starter offensively and they've been able to kind of turn it on
02:49a little.
02:50That sometimes trips you up and I want to be cautious on that side of it here.
02:55I am worried that this sometime if if the bill score touchdowns on their first two possessions,
03:00I know this is probably somewhat obvious, but I'm done because then they're going to
03:04just get in.
03:05They're going to get into the 40s on their own to it will do enough to get to like twenty
03:10one.
03:11And then this will be like an alt over maybe the highest scoring game of this on the Sunday
03:14slate.
03:16I think with the slow Buffalo starts, I think the Dolphins offense last week had some successes,
03:21but up against this defense, I wouldn't still fully, fully buy in.
03:25I took a shot on the under here, Donnie.
03:27I'm fascinated to see if Tyree kill can finally break out, though, because last week he was
03:32back for injury, but he wasn't fully back.
03:34Yeah.
03:35Foot injuries last week.
03:36You're waiting for a waddle to step up.
03:37The big playability is what you want for the Miami Dolphins, which we didn't see obviously
03:40with two out maybe last week, a little bit nervous in that game.
03:44Once again, still should want.
03:45No way should lose to Arizona at home at this point.
03:47Let's just see if he comes back as the old to attack of a low in that offense, because
03:50if he does, we might be looking at some offense today.
03:52Nice conditions there for scoring to a Buffalo.

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