• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00The Braves on the road to start off this week in Minnesota against the Twins, as we shared
00:07with Vecchio.
00:08Minnesota a minus 120 home money line favorite over under is eight.
00:13The Twins lost the weekend to the Cardinals.
00:16The Braves won the weekend, had a chance for a sweep yesterday against the Nats.
00:19Washington did avoid that sweep.
00:21Yeah, that heat wave out in the Midwest yesterday, you saw that Phillies game, 90 plus, 90 plus
00:26degree temperatures.
00:27They're sweating up a storm.
00:28The reason I bring that up is tonight in Minnesota, typically not that environment
00:31like, oh, it's going to be hot, no, 88 degrees at first pitch at night tonight in Minnesota
00:35going up against Atlanta.
00:36Slight wind blowing in from right field at five miles per hour.
00:39If we are looking at Bailey Ober, he's had a very good season, particularly over the
00:43past 30 days, 126 batters, Ben, he's faced, how about an 087 iso and a weighted on base
00:48percentage of 199.
00:50How about a K rate at 28% combined with a highlight of 32% of the left-handed batters
00:55that go against them have struck out in the last month.
00:58Let's flip it over to the other side.
00:59Max Freed hasn't been great over the past month, but he does have decent iso power numbers
01:04against which is 064 through 92 batters that he's faced over the past month.
01:08But if you are taking with that twins lineup, which I do like, they haven't hit left-handed
01:12pitching all that great here, last 30 days in that lineup outside of Royce Lewis, Santana
01:16and Farmer, a lot of guys below 500 per se there at that weighted on base percentage
01:21and a lot of strikeouts here.
01:23So instead of saying, I actually think, and I do that the twins will win this game.
01:27You know, I like better than this game.
01:28I don't think we get the nine runs here.
01:30I'll take the under eight.

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