Optimizing Fantasy Football Drafts: The Value of Derrick Henry

  • 3 months ago
Transcript
00:00Well, look, I'm talking about these guys where if they're going in the first few rounds,
00:07you're only going to get one or two of them, but there's, when you have the whole board
00:10to yourself, right?
00:11And you're out there and you're looking at who are the names are, I'm trying to help
00:14you focus in on the ones that I think are actually going to be the most helpful.
00:19And it's funny, you know, every year we look at the first round and some years it looks
00:22really good.
00:23Some years it doesn't.
00:24We look at the first five rounds and we say, sometimes it's really deep.
00:27Sometimes it's questionable.
00:28You know, you look deeper into guys like Christian Watts and that's an easy one.
00:31I think when you're looking earlier, you're going to see Derrick Henry go later than normal.
00:36Derrick Henry is usually a second round pick.
00:38Sometimes he's going around the third round.
00:40Now he is the 10th running back off the board and call me crazy, but when you take the most
00:48prolific rusher, just rusher of the football in the last 10 years, and you put them on
00:52the team that has led the league in rushing last year, that wants to run the football
00:56that has to run the football because of the way that they are constructed as a roster.
01:01What a fantastic scenario.
01:03Now I understand that he's 30, but Derrick Henry is also a physical specimen, unlike
01:08a lot of other running backs.
01:10So I don't think his 30 is the same as a 30 year old running back.
01:13That is half his size.
01:15I think that he is also in a great position to have a ton of goal line looks this year.
01:20Lamar Jackson, another year where he has slimmed down, where I don't think you want him working
01:26at the goal line as much with that smaller frame, two years in a row where Lamar has
01:30done that.
01:31And don't think that that isn't also part of the fact you've got Derrick Henry to run
01:36that ball in.
01:37I think that's a huge connectivity issue there between those two factors.
01:41So I'm looking at Derrick Henry, I know he's not going to catch 80 balls or 50 balls.
01:46He's not that kind of running back, but yards are yards and touchdowns are touchdowns.
01:50So I don't care if it's a standard league or a PPR league or a half PPR league.
01:54I want the guy who's going to get the touches, who has a touchdown equity and Derrick Henry
01:57still that guy.
01:58And you look at that running back board, Kyron Williams with his foot issues are ahead of
02:02him.
02:03Jonathan Taylor, who had some health issues the last two years is ahead of him.
02:07Travis ATN, who's a nice player is ahead of him.
02:09I don't think he's got the kind of touchdown equity that Derrick Henry has this year.
02:12I just don't.
02:13So I'm looking at the discount of Derrick Henry and people say, well, I can't leave
02:16the league and rushing, you know, at 30.
02:18Well, Barry Sanders did it at 29.
02:20So let's not pretend like it's not impossible to do.
02:24So again, Barry Sanders, a little different than the average bear.
02:27I think the same thing when it comes to Derrick Henry.
02:29So I'm looking at Derrick Henry in the third round is your hero RB potential league winner
02:35kind of guy.

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