Exploring AL Cy Young 2024 Candidates: Scuba Leads
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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:03 - Let's start with the American League Cy Young
00:04 for this upcoming season.
00:05 'Cause there is a name that is almost impossible to ignore
00:09 no matter how much you want to.
00:11 And for me, the logical name is just beneath,
00:14 but I'll let you take it from here.
00:16 A.L. Cy Young Futures.
00:17 How's the lines moving?
00:18 - Well, Tariq Scouble was the guy that I think
00:22 you and I both thought was gonna be
00:24 very impressive this year.
00:25 And he has been exactly that.
00:28 Our problem with this award is the media public imprint
00:32 of a guy that pitches for the Tigers.
00:34 And I know that sounds kind of like
00:35 an outdated way of looking things,
00:36 but again, this is still a baseball writers award.
00:41 This is a baseball writer association
00:43 where people still don't have unanimous hall of famers
00:46 for guys like Albert Pujols someday.
00:48 You're gonna get guys who don't vote for Derek Junior
00:51 for the hall of famer.
00:53 Come on, what are we doing here?
00:54 So you have to understand that there is a public persona
00:57 that kind of matters.
00:58 Now, Corbin Burns, in number two spot here on this list,
01:02 is the bigger public persona at plus 460.
01:04 But Scouble at two to one right now,
01:07 Matt, he is leading the American League in whip.
01:10 He is top five in strikeouts, top five in ERA.
01:14 He has been absolutely fantastic.
01:17 I mean, he's got a 2.01 ERA, 67 innings.
01:21 He has gone 80 strikeouts to 11 walks.
01:26 At a certain point, I think if you are this undeniable
01:29 for the next third of the season,
01:32 if we circle back here at August 1st,
01:34 and Scouble is in the same top five realm
01:37 or top three realm and everything,
01:39 he might be that undeniable guy.
01:41 And I don't know, this two to one,
01:42 we might look back on it and feel like we missed out.
01:46 That's all I'm saying.
01:47 Scouble is a really interesting candidate right there
01:49 that he hasn't given you any other reason
01:52 to not feel confident in him yet,
01:55 except for the fact that he pitches for the Tigers.
01:57 And that is the one thing where he's,
01:59 well, I mean, it's a thing that's hurt other guys
02:01 in the past.
02:01 - It's a good point.
02:04 But what I've learned from just looking at lines,
02:09 and for those that are new to it,
02:10 you can use something like betting pros,
02:12 and Joe can go into more as to what it does,
02:14 but looking at lines, looking at how the book prices us,
02:18 the book is telling us to wager on Scouble.
02:22 Are they not just based off of the numbers
02:25 that we see, the consensus numbers?
02:26 We have Scouble at plus 200, Corbin Burns at plus 460,
02:29 and then Luis Castillo at 12 to one.
02:32 You have to be careful because a lot of times
02:33 when someone tells you to do something,
02:36 we know it, right?
02:37 Winners out there are nodding their heads in fact,
02:39 but you gotta do the opposite.
02:40 You gotta fade the public here.
02:41 So Burns to me would be the move, but you are right.
02:45 It's almost undeniable, Joe.
02:48 (upbeat music)
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