'Cases Rising But Positivity, Fatality Moving Averages Suggest COVID in India May Be Decelerating'
- 3 years ago
In an interview to Karan Thapar for The Wire, Prof. Giridhar Babu said he won’t deny that the number of cases (over 2.6 million as of 18/8) is concerning but given the size of India’s population it is to be expected. He, in fact, made a point of questioning how did China, a country of comparable population size, contain its total number of cases at 84,871? As of today India has more than three times as many.
Asked by The Wire what he believes will be the Covid-19 situation facing the country three months from now i.e. around Diwali, Prof. Babu said that he was reluctant to project beyond two incubation periods i.e. 28 days. He said he expects 4 million cases around September 12-15. He said on the assumption that for every known case there are 10 infections he believes the total number of additional infections would be 40 million on that date.
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Asked by The Wire what he believes will be the Covid-19 situation facing the country three months from now i.e. around Diwali, Prof. Babu said that he was reluctant to project beyond two incubation periods i.e. 28 days. He said he expects 4 million cases around September 12-15. He said on the assumption that for every known case there are 10 infections he believes the total number of additional infections would be 40 million on that date.
Like our work? Click here to support The Wire: https://thewire.in/support
The founding premise of The Wire is this: if good journalism is to survive and thrive, it can only do so by being both editorially and financially independent. This means relying principally on contributions from readers and concerned citizens who have no interest other than to sustain a space for quality journalism. As a publication, The Wire will be firmly committed to the public interest and democratic values.
We publish in four different languages!
For English, visit www.thewire.in
for Hindi: http://thewirehindi.com/
for Urdu: http://thewireurdu.com
for Marathi: https://marathi.thewire.in
If you are a young writer or a creator, you can submit articles, essays, photos, poetry – anything that’s straight out of your imagination – to LiveWire, The Wire’s portal for the young, by the young. https://livewire.thewire.in/
You can also follow The Wire’s social media platforms and engage with us.
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