Established in 1911, Harry’s New York Bar in Paris’ 2nd arrondissement is one of the oldest cocktail bars in Europe and the birthplace of such iconic drinks as the Bloody Mary and French 75. But Harry’s has a less well known tradition of hosting a straw vote for the U.S. presidential elections, which has only twice since 1924 failed to predict its outcome. Who will win this year? There’s only one way to find out.